Forecasting based on econometric models (time series analysis)
The problem of studying the relationship of economic indicators in economic analysis. Construction of an econometric model of the ratio of the exchange rate of tenge to the ruble and the possibility of using it to forecast real economic processes.
Подобные документы
The econometric models of goods export from Ukraine and the import to Ukraine in general, their seasonal and trend components are considered. The forecast of investigated indices for III and IV quarters of 2013 is made based on these constructed models.
статья, добавлен 28.09.2016Research a number of econometric models of the relationships between regional macroeconomic indicators of the labour market of Ukrainian economy. Evaluation of the developed models, the degree of influence factors, statistical analysis of the results.
статья, добавлен 14.08.2016Carrying out of econometric analysis by means of panel data models of the volume of innovative goods, works and services in the Russian Federation. The dependence on the number of personnel involved in scientific research and the internal expenses.
статья, добавлен 30.07.2017Review the simple climate–economic model based on the model of economic growth with the endogenous depreciation rate linear in temperature and on the exogenous climate scenario. The dynamics of mean value of normalized capital in case of uncertainty.
статья, добавлен 20.05.2017The use of mathematical methods in economic analysis is the most important direction for improving management systems. Mathematical methods speed up economic analysis, increase the accuracy of calculations and take into account the impact on productivity.
статья, добавлен 27.12.2023Effective forecasting of the economy - one of the most urgent scientific, political and social problems. Presenting several scenarios of forecasts considering different changes in separate parameters like the crucial functions of economic modeling.
статья, добавлен 23.04.2021- 7. Modelling of special warning indicators for banking crises: the evidence from developing economies
General comparison of signaling and econometric approaches, arguments for and against each of methods to predict a banking collapse. Econometric approach of banking crises' modelling. Fitting the prediction model for banking crisis 2008-2009 in Russia.
дипломная работа, добавлен 28.08.2016 The likelihood ratio test is a test used to compare the fit of two models, one of which is a special case of the other. The test is based on the likelihood ratio, which expresses how many times more likely the data are under one model than the other.
статья, добавлен 10.09.2012Econometric approaches to modeling censored demand - a tool that is used to obtain consistent and unbiased parameter estimates. The neglect of censored data when building a forecast - a significant lack of demand analysis by machine learning methods.
дипломная работа, добавлен 23.09.2018Main trends in the development of local markets for crop products. Analysis of methodical approaches to the application of econometric methods to determine promising directions of development of these markets. Systematization of the factor indicators.
статья, добавлен 28.09.2016Discuss a number of procedures that are designed for testing the specification of econometric models, concerned with the numerical properties of these OLS estimates and refer to certain properties of estimates as "numerical" if they have nothing to do.
монография, добавлен 08.03.2014Comprehensive professional assessment as an integral part of practical management. Methods of economic and mathematical modeling, which are widely used by appraisers in different countries. Possibility of using economic and mathematical modeling.
статья, добавлен 23.02.2021Analysis of the reasons of cyclic crises of economic systems. Analysis of the stages of technological potential of economic safety of the enterprise. Study of mivar technologies for design technical and technological potential of economic security.
статья, добавлен 26.09.2016The technology of modelling and evaluation of economic security factors. Modelling the factors of economic security envisages the compliance of the development of relations within the enterprise system to the processes of changes of its economic status.
статья, добавлен 28.09.2016Principles of functioning of small oil and gas enterprises in Russia. The main characteristics and socio-economic tasks performed by small oil and gas enterprises. Forecast calculations of the dynamics of hydrocarbon raw materials for the planning period.
статья, добавлен 26.06.2018Сonsidered and characteristic the process of evolution and prospects of mathematical methods and models in economic research. The prospects of the synergetic direction as a basic direction in modern economic and mathematical modeling are revealed.
статья, добавлен 24.10.2022Building the continuous linear model of international trade based on the theory of probabilistic processes. Analysis of commodity-money flows between the parties to the Treaty under the given rules of the contractual relationship continuously in time.
статья, добавлен 26.06.2016In the article describes the current state of agent-based modeling of geographic space and spatial economic systems. It also reveals the reasons why this approach to modeling such phenomena is of particular interest. The review of approaches is given.
статья, добавлен 16.06.2022The significance of these results is the possibility of increasing the accuracy of the forecast of exchange rates on the Internet market by using advanced mathematical apparatus, based on the set of factors affecting the fluctuations of exchange rates.
статья, добавлен 30.07.2016Operationalization of the content of the economic security of hospitality entities and the formation of a compliance-strategizing model as a multi-level mechanism in the conditions of digitalization. Study of the essence of economic security of business.
статья, добавлен 07.08.2022Determination of the specifics of economic and mathematical modeling of the processes of development of tourist, museum and hotel and restaurant enterprises. A visual visualization of the development processes of based on specific practical examples.
статья, добавлен 12.12.2023Policy countries in a situation of migration of skilled labour and opportunities for social optimum achievement. Development of a model showing the interaction between the countries in the game, where public policies impact on the socio-economic balance.
доклад, добавлен 30.08.2016Concept and economic essence of property rights. Justification and development of the business protection model against possible damage to business activities caused by the influence various external and internal market factors and economic conditions.
дипломная работа, добавлен 11.08.2020Suggests an approach to the creation of the semantic and ontological model of knowledge of technical and technological potential of economic security of an enterprise. Offered to use mivar technologies to design technical potential of economic security.
статья, добавлен 25.09.2016Cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio - one of the most valuable insights for a better measure of publicly held company's long-term financial performance. The forecasting model which based on the method to test predictors of the equity premium.
дипломная работа, добавлен 01.12.2019