Scenarios of the polish economy dynamics in 2017-2022 on the Ramsey type model basis

Effective forecasting of the economy - one of the most urgent scientific, political and social problems. Presenting several scenarios of forecasts considering different changes in separate parameters like the crucial functions of economic modeling.

Подобные документы

  • Determination of the specifics of economic and mathematical modeling of the processes of development of tourist, museum and hotel and restaurant enterprises. A visual visualization of the development processes of based on specific practical examples.

    статья, добавлен 12.12.2023

  • The general mathematical model for probabilities of the infocommunication system states. Interrelation of dependencies of traditional parameters of system reliability with traditional parameters of queuing methods. The differential equation systems.

    статья, добавлен 19.06.2018

  • Increasing global competition for innovation and innovators. Problems accumulated in the R&D sphere. Creating a "shock of attractiveness” for the research professions. The new incentives for scientific and research activities. State support of cadres.

    статья, добавлен 22.11.2021

  • Operationalization of the content of the economic security of hospitality entities and the formation of a compliance-strategizing model as a multi-level mechanism in the conditions of digitalization. Study of the essence of economic security of business.

    статья, добавлен 07.08.2022

  • Data Analysis and Model-Building Basics, making Predictions by Using Regression. Comparing Many Means with ANOVA. Building Strong Connections with Chi-Square Tests, rebels without a Distribution. Ten Errors in Statistical Conclusions, Practice Problems.

    учебное пособие, добавлен 09.04.2013

  • Suggests an approach to the creation of the semantic and ontological model of knowledge of technical and technological potential of economic security of an enterprise. Offered to use mivar technologies to design technical potential of economic security.

    статья, добавлен 25.09.2016

  • Study of the growth of fullerenes and carbon nanotubes from small clusters. Choice of interatomic potential as a key factor in molecular dynamics modeling. Fullerene assembly from graphite fragments. Structure evolution of reaction the materials.

    статья, добавлен 28.10.2018

  • Non-uniform distributions in hotelling model. Decision making under uncertainty and ambiguity in hotelling model. New markets and new products in Hotelling model. Formulation of the problem and motivation. Optima number of demo products.

    дипломная работа, добавлен 27.08.2016

  • The tools application in the areas: quantitative measures of nonlinear dynamics, Monte-Carlo statistical hypothesis testing, nonlinear modeling. The method of surrogate data. Estimation of correlation dimension. Times series embedding and reconstruction.

    книга, добавлен 25.11.2013

  • The technology of modelling and evaluation of economic security factors. Modelling the factors of economic security envisages the compliance of the development of relations within the enterprise system to the processes of changes of its economic status.

    статья, добавлен 28.09.2016

  • A method for obtaining nonlinear dependencies of type, which based on the use of the function of linearizing the numerical dependencies of spreadsheets. Approximation for the conversion degree of a chemical reaction as a function of 2-3 parameters.

    статья, добавлен 10.08.2018

  • Determining the main reasons for the company's entry into the strategic alliance. Characteristics of the advantages of creating and developing strategic alliances in global and national economies. Consideration of partner programs in the IT industry.

    статья, добавлен 17.08.2022

  • Approach to the linear model of international trade based on the theory of Markov processes. Continuous model of international trade is built, in which the transition of the system from state to state is described by linear differential equations.

    статья, добавлен 29.11.2016

  • Banking system as one of the main parts of the economy. The credit rating which given by authorized agencies - the most popular and reliable instrument for measurement of banks’ financial stability. Modelling probabilities of the default separately.

    дипломная работа, добавлен 09.08.2018

  • Mathematical model of effect of non-compliance with the prevention of HIV among a heterogeneous population based on known model by Kimbir et al. The effectiveness of a condom use and implications of non-compliance with a population of preventive measures.

    статья, добавлен 20.05.2017

  • Research a number of econometric models of the relationships between regional macroeconomic indicators of the labour market of Ukrainian economy. Evaluation of the developed models, the degree of influence factors, statistical analysis of the results.

    статья, добавлен 14.08.2016

  • European options on several assets. The Black-Scholes-Merton model. Numerical method. Sparse grid combination technique. Applying the method to the option pricing problem. Solving the transformed equation. Monte Carlo simulations. Bermudan styles.

    курсовая работа, добавлен 26.08.2016

  • Analysis of the reasons of cyclic crises of economic systems. Analysis of the stages of technological potential of economic safety of the enterprise. Study of mivar technologies for design technical and technological potential of economic security.

    статья, добавлен 26.09.2016

  • Building the continuous linear model of international trade based on the theory of probabilistic processes. Analysis of commodity-money flows between the parties to the Treaty under the given rules of the contractual relationship continuously in time.

    статья, добавлен 26.06.2016

  • General comparison of signaling and econometric approaches, arguments for and against each of methods to predict a banking collapse. Econometric approach of banking crises' modelling. Fitting the prediction model for banking crisis 2008-2009 in Russia.

    дипломная работа, добавлен 28.08.2016

  • Поиск модели для прогноза временных рядов с учетом минимизации ошибок и высокой точности прогноза. Разработка алгоритмов для прогноза временных рядов, основанных на подходе "Rolling forecasting origin" и их реализация в среде программирования Python.

    статья, добавлен 11.02.2021

  • Factor analysis is an analysis of influence of separate factors (reasons) on the resulting indicator by using deterministic or stochastic techniques of research. It allows you to explore the functional relationship between the general resulting indicator.

    статья, добавлен 10.05.2023

  • Pre-crisis, post-crisis windows definition. Bipower variation and jumps. Models for volatility forecasting. Forecast comparison. Value at risk estimation. Statistics on volatility estimators. Regression estimations. Forecast results of standalone models.

    курсовая работа, добавлен 11.02.2017

  • Methods of identification, evaluation, treatment and monitoring of operational risk have been generalized and systematized. The methodology for decision support system of operational risk management based on Bayesian techniques has been developed.

    статья, добавлен 30.07.2016

  • The impact of futures indexes introduction on the volatility and market efficiency of the underlying assets. Investigation of the hedging of the futures. Relationship between the real estate U.S. futures index and American, European and Australian.

    дипломная работа, добавлен 29.11.2015

Работы в архивах красиво оформлены согласно требованиям ВУЗов и содержат рисунки, диаграммы, формулы и т.д.
PPT, PPTX и PDF-файлы представлены только в архивах.
Рекомендуем скачать работу и оценить ее, кликнув по соответствующей звездочке.