Foresight model of innovational and technological development in economic systems
The analysis of modern approaches to forecasting of innovative development. The building of the predictive models in economic systems. The use of methodology of overcoming of temporal gap for calculating the extremum points of cycles of reproduction.
Подобные документы
The method of linear programming (simplex method) as the method of systematic improvement and quality management, in particular the formation of grinding compounds, and the use of the resulting models to predict, control and optimize the process.
статья, добавлен 28.09.2016The likelihood ratio test is a test used to compare the fit of two models, one of which is a special case of the other. The test is based on the likelihood ratio, which expresses how many times more likely the data are under one model than the other.
статья, добавлен 10.09.2012Approach to the linear model of international trade based on the theory of Markov processes. Continuous model of international trade is built, in which the transition of the system from state to state is described by linear differential equations.
статья, добавлен 29.11.2016Business statistics, mathematics, probability, models, and the real world. The use of statistics in business. Two ways of being wrong. Three Types of Probability. Counting possible outcomes: the rule of insufficient reason for classical probability.
книга, добавлен 25.11.2013Mathematical model of effect of non-compliance with the prevention of HIV among a heterogeneous population based on known model by Kimbir et al. The effectiveness of a condom use and implications of non-compliance with a population of preventive measures.
статья, добавлен 20.05.2017Methods of identification, evaluation, treatment and monitoring of operational risk have been generalized and systematized. The methodology for decision support system of operational risk management based on Bayesian techniques has been developed.
статья, добавлен 30.07.2016The impact of globalization and the expansion of international trade in the LDCs. The definitions of the mechanism by which these factors lead to a weakening of LDC institutions with a low level of technology, which can not absorb the advanced technology.
дипломная работа, добавлен 30.08.2016Principles of functioning of small oil and gas enterprises in Russia. The main characteristics and socio-economic tasks performed by small oil and gas enterprises. Forecast calculations of the dynamics of hydrocarbon raw materials for the planning period.
статья, добавлен 26.06.2018Russia and the international trade system. Regulation of external economic activities. Foreign trade pattern. Volumes of Russian Foreign Trade with Countries Outside Former Soviet Union in Value Terms (without unorganized trade, in billions dollars).
реферат, добавлен 13.09.2011Factor analysis is an analysis of influence of separate factors (reasons) on the resulting indicator by using deterministic or stochastic techniques of research. It allows you to explore the functional relationship between the general resulting indicator.
статья, добавлен 10.05.2023Determining the main reasons for the company's entry into the strategic alliance. Characteristics of the advantages of creating and developing strategic alliances in global and national economies. Consideration of partner programs in the IT industry.
статья, добавлен 17.08.2022A focused factory is a approach for manufacturing enterprise. The development of heuristic scheduling algorithm in step-by-step method. Nagare cell is a combination of manual and semiautomatic machine for maximum output flexibility for productions.
статья, добавлен 17.04.2013Analyze the efficiency and the overall performance of Turkish airports using the data envelopment analysis. Efficiency scores under constant returns to scale. Indentifying the most and least efficient airports in Turkey using data envelopment analysis.
статья, добавлен 27.09.2016Поиск модели для прогноза временных рядов с учетом минимизации ошибок и высокой точности прогноза. Разработка алгоритмов для прогноза временных рядов, основанных на подходе "Rolling forecasting origin" и их реализация в среде программирования Python.
статья, добавлен 11.02.2021Banking system as one of the main parts of the economy. The credit rating which given by authorized agencies - the most popular and reliable instrument for measurement of banks’ financial stability. Modelling probabilities of the default separately.
дипломная работа, добавлен 09.08.2018Application of mathematical and statistical means for adaptation of the enterprise to changes. Theoretical and methodological substantiation of mathematical and statistical methods, models and tools of this process. Evaluation of its effectiveness.
статья, добавлен 25.02.2021Measurement of potential losses in the value of the asset VaR. Approaches that are used to compute Value at Risk: the variance-covariance approach, the historical and the Monte Carlo simulations. Risk assessment value at risk as a qualitative tool.
эссе, добавлен 29.05.2014Electronic virtual markets can serve as an alternative tool for collecting information spread among numerous experts. Two motivation approaches compared via participant's activity represented by both the volume of trades and the number of transactions.
статья, добавлен 28.09.2016Investigation of the perception of residents’ on willingness to pay for water supply in the study area with the use of regression analysis. The determination of the key factors influencing residents’ willingness to pay for water supply in Nigeria.
статья, добавлен 05.10.2018Study of algorithms of processing of nonlinear signal. The definition of the Gaussian model of normal random variables. The distribution of order statistics. The absolute value of the deviation of the weighted median. A balanced set of calculations.
книга, добавлен 25.11.2013Investigation of the phenomenon of asymmetry in the Iranian economy. The study of the effects of inflation on monetary policy. Using the model of autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity for describing of financial and macroeconomic time series.
статья, добавлен 28.09.2016Применение методики для оценки зрелости процессов управления проектами по модели Project management process model. Совершенствование проектной деятельности в инженерно-строительной отрасли. Прогнозирование отклонений ключевых показателей бизнес-проекта.
статья, добавлен 26.04.2019Discusses the possibility of modelling individual factors determining inflation, using intelligent technology based on decision tree and matrix convolution. Constructed of the simplified model of the "manufacturers demand to profitability level".
статья, добавлен 25.09.2016Patterns and factors of strategic profiles of enterprises' innovation. The formation model and calculation of criteria of these strategic profiles to select the best option from a set of alternative states which a company might enter through management.
статья, добавлен 27.09.2016The mathematical model of free market of three goods in the conditions of supply lag in the interval of discrete time with market parameters, demand vector and initial conditions is considered. The dynamics of allowable profit of the seller is obtained.
статья, добавлен 07.08.2022